By: Anthony Kane
Proposed Headline: Is There A Correlation Between Ones Commute Time and Their Happiness?
News Hook: Staten Island’s South Shore has one of the longest commute times in the city. Meanwhile data has been released explaining that the longer time spent commuting leads to a less satisfactory life. Are people from Staten Island’s South Shore really less happy than someone working down the block from their job?
Description of Data: Information showcasing the average life happiness of people who commute to work and a map showcasing the average commute time in NYC
Potential Sources: Alfredo Morabia- Queens College Professor who conducts studies regarding the effects of commuting.
Proposed Headline: Cost of fighting ISIS Soars
News Hook: A bipartisan group of 35 representatives in the house have called for House Speaker Paul Ryan to officially authorize a war on ISIS.
Nut Graf: The average daily cost of fighting ISIS has gone up nearly 20 percent since June. The cost could go up even higher soon. Most of the daily costs – about two-thirds – have from from the Air Force, but at the end of October, President Barack Obama authorized boots on the ground in Syria.
The Data: Preliminary data is here. I’m waiting on the Defense Department to send me additional data. Data Source: http://www.defense.gov/News/Special-Reports/0814_Inherent-Resolve
Description of Data: The data breaks down money spent on the fight against ISIS for the last five months as part of Operation Inherent Resolve. It breaks down daily average expenditures and average costs by expense, service (branch of the military) and category.
One Source You’ve Spoken to or Potential Sources:
The U.S. trade deficit decreased in September as exports rose and imports fell, a sign that U.S. economy is strengthening despite the global meltdown.
The international trade deficit, the amount by which a country’s import costs exceeds that of its export costs, in goods and services fell to $40.8 billion down $7.2 billion from $48.0 billion in August, revised.
While the total export increased around $3.0 billion in September up from $184.9 billion in August, the import decreased around $4.3 billion.
The goods deficit with European Union decreased while that with China and Mexico increased. The plunge is an optimistic sign since Germany, U.K. and France feature in the top ten countries with whom U.S. has international trade relations.
Why do we care?
There is a growing concern about the global economy especially with the economic slowdown in China and the strengthening of dollar. The well-being of the U.S. economy has an impact on the global economy and so it is important to know where the nation stands with respect to the world.
U.S. has taken a long time to recover from the recession of 2008, and its impact could be felt in the job market for a long time. But the latest job report, which came out on Friday, shows a robust growth in non-farm payroll which shows that the country has come out of the recovery phase and is strengthening.
I plan to trace the trade deficit over the decade, how it went up and down during the rough phases of the economy. I also plan to show the relation between the strong dollar and its effect on the global economy and U.S.’s international trade relations. I want to show a chart pointing out the top countries with whom U.S. does its business and what are the goods it exports and imports primarily.
Goods-U.S. Census Bereau, # 301-763-3148
Goods-U.S. Census Bereau, # 301- 763- 2311
News Media, #202-606-2649
Links to the Data:
By Christina Nordvang Jensen
The past years there has been an increase in the number of reported domestic violence victims. The newest data from New York State Division of Criminal Justice Services shows a 25% increase.
In 2009 there was 25,761 cases reported in New York City. In 2013 the number was 32,324 which is 6,563 more reported incidences.
There can be a number of things that have caused the increase. One can be that more people are reporting domestic violence because of increased community awareness and support. Another can be that abuse incidents are increasing. It is difficult to tell with accuracy which of these factors is affecting the indicator and to what degree.
Law enforcement officials have said that a big reason for the increase was a 2008 change in law redefining what an intimate partner is.
This development is happening while New York City is unable to offer enough shelter beds and transitional apartments for victims of domestic violence.
From 2002 to 2009, the city added 628 beds for domestic violence victims and their children, according to data provided by the Human Resources Administration. Since then, New York City has added no beds or units.
Description and link to the data
The data is from New York State Division of Criminal Justice Services. It shows the development in the number of reported domestic violence victims from 2009 to 2013.
Victim counts are reported for the following offenses: aggravated assault, simple assault, sex offenses, and violation of protective orders.
Sources to contact:
New York State Office for the Prevention of Domestic Violence (OPDV)
The nonprofit organization Sanctuary for Families. It helps victims of domestic violence and related forms of gender violence.
Safe Horizon – a victim assistance agency that provides support, prevent violence and promote justice for victims of crime and abuse, their families and communities.
Urban Resource Institute, one of New York City’s largest providers of services for victims of domestic violence victims and their families.
The holiday season is the busiest time of year for air travel. According to data from the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, only about 75 percent of flights to and from major U.S. airports arrived on time, meaning that passengers have a one in four chance of getting to their destination late.
This data-driven story will describe the seven causes of flight delays that are tracked by the BTS. The data suggest that weather is one of the least common reasons, and that late-arriving connecting flights is most common. A bar chart or graph will show the frequency of each cause over the past year. Accompanying text will explain that the rate of each cause has remained consistent over the past decade, and experts will offer tips to holiday travelers for avoiding delays when possible.
I created a spreadsheet tabulating Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Using this online tool, I compiled the number and percentage of flight delay causes for each year between 2004 and 2014 inclusive.
Press secretary, U.S. Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics
Co-Founder, ExpertFlyer.com, a leading website for advice and travel trends geared toward frequent flyers.
CEO of FareCompare.com, air travel analyst and columnist
Media contact Alex Williams, online contact form: http://www.farecompare.com/media/#/
Fewer murders by weapon from 2007 to 2011 in the US
Data shows that there have been almost 25% fewer murders by weapon from 2007 to 2011 in the US. In 2007 the number of murders by weapon in the US was 14.916 and in 2011 this number has decreased to 12.664.
At the same time in the US and in Europe there is massive focus on the US easygoing weapon legislation, the increasing school shootings etc.
That give us an image of a growing problem not a decreasing one.
In several polls we also see that Americans believe that the number of murders are increasing – even though the opposite is actually the case.
25% is a pretty significant number. And this decrease has happened even though we don’t hear about stricter gun legislation. So why is this the reality? Has there been more legislation than we hear about – or is the reason for the drop another?
It is a positive development that most people don’t recognize, because they don’t know, that this is in fact the reality – so just to tell the story is important. Also to figure out what the US is doing right, so the development can continue like this – is another good reason to care.
National Institute of Justice
Daniel Webster, ScD
Director, Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Policy and Research
Law Center to prevent Gun Violence
Polls that shows that the Americans actually believe, that the numbers are increasing.
The data is from the FBI – posted August 2013. These are the latest numbers.
The data shows the number of homicides by year broken down by weapon type. You can download the data in Excel.
By Núria Saldanha, Kat Long, Rai Chakravarty
From 1995 to 2014, the tax on a pack of cigarettes rose from 56 cents to $4.35, the highest state tax in the U.S. Over the same time period, the prevalence of smokers dropped to 14.5 percent, equal to 2.5 million people, the lowest on record. High taxes are “the single most effective intervention for reducing consumption” of tobacco, said Brian Kang, deputy director for research translation at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which compiled much of the data (The New York State Department of Health collected state figures.) The numbers don’t lie: when it hurts their pockets, people decide to quit.
For every 10 percent increase in the tax, there is a 3.5 percent decrease in smoking prevalence in adults, according to the Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids. The advocacy group also argues that in every state that has significantly raised its cigarette tax rate, pack sales have gone down sharply, and New York is no exception.
Although high taxes explain some of the reduction in the smoking rate, other factors also encourage people to stop smoking. Sometimes the decrease in the smoking rate doesn’t immediately affect the data. Kang said that anti-smoking campaigns in the media, access to free smoking-cessation treatments and the availability of quitlines – hotlines for smoking-cessation information and support – also help people make a decision to quit.
Some research suggests that electronic cigarettes are changing the landscape of tobacco consumption. The data, while inconclusive, show that a significant number of Americans use e-cigarettes and other vaporizing devices. In 2013, one in 10 adults, or 20.4 million individuals, had tried these products at least once, and the percentage of former smokers who have ever used e-cigarettes increased from 2.5 percent in 2010 to 9.6 percent, according to the CDC. Vape use among high school students increased from 4.5 percent in 2013 to 13.4 percent in 2014, totaling two million students in the U.S.
A 2015 poll conducted by Ipsos/Reuters showed that roughly 10 percent of adults nationwide say they use e-smoking devices.
As e-smoking become more common, advocates and physicians’ associations are calling for higher prices on the devices and stronger regulation. Many hope a high tax on e-cigarettes in New York will have the same impact on the smoking rate as taxes on traditional cigarettes.
By Anthony Kane, Christina Jensen and Maria Arcel
Fewer children are being placed in foster care, in New York State, than ten years ago. According to data from New York State, there has been a 38% drop of children in the foster care system, from 2004 to 2014. An average of 29.656 children, in care in New York state, were in the foster care system in 2004, while an average of 18.488 children, were in the system in 2014.
Kathleen J. Ledesma, Director of Adopt US Kids, has been working in the child welfare system for 40 years. Ledesma believes that there are different contributors forcing these changes, one of which is that there has been an increased focus on helping the families who have problems to create a better environment, as opposed to placing children in the system.
“A greater effort has been made over the last five years to deliver service and support to families that are in crisis, to prevent the removal of the children from their home,” says Ledesma.
Alma J. Carten, an associate professor at the New York University School of Social Work – and formerly a New York City child welfare official agrees. Carten believes the main reason for the decrease is that the prevention services have been improved.
“Earlier a lot of children were unnecessary going to foster care. But now the focus is on prevention. The prevention services, such as abuse and counseling services, has increased while the numbers of children has decreased,” Carten explains.
The NY State Office of Children and Family Services, has been working to improve the situation within NY’s foster care system. The office wants to keep children out of the system and with their family, however possible.
“New York State provides an uncapped funding stream to local social services districts for programs aimed at keeping children in their homes,” said a press representative from OFCS. “The state reimburses counties at 62% after deducting any available federal funds, combined with a capped foster care allocation, this provides a financial incentive to counties to develop a community-based infrastructure of services including case management and home-based supports.”
To some, this may seem like good development, however, it might not all be positive.
Kathleen J. Ledesma points out that the children ending up in the foster care system are staying there for a longer time, than earlier. States and countries now have limited resources to help get the kids out of the system, than they used to.
With these limited resources, comes a higher turnover rate of employees, since there has been a drop in funding. Thus leaving the same levels of children, with less available options through the system.
“So we see caseloads that are not being covered, that ends up meaning that children are in care longer,” said Ledesma. “They are still using the resources but are not getting all the social work that they need to have, along with the financial support to address their safety.”
Even though the numbers are showing that children may end up in the foster care system longer, Alma J. Carten believes the numbers are showing a generally positive development. Considering that there are fewer children within the system.
“It is complicated, but the bigger picture is that it is a good thing, that fewer children end up in foster care,” said Carten.
According to research performed at the U.S. Center for Disease Control and Prevention, children in foster care are three times more likely to be diagnosed with ADHD. One in four foster care children were diagnosed with ADHD, compared with only one in fourteen kids not in foster care. About 50 percent of the ADHD diagnosed children, in foster care, also suffer from other disorders, such as depression or anxiety.
Therefore children in the system need more care, than children outside of foster care.
According to a report from the American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP), the US foster care system needs to do a better job providing consistent quality healthcare to the children in foster homes. Caseworkers don’t spend the necessary time on health care, and treatment, for the children – even though 80% of the children have a “significant mental health need,” according to AAP.
Despite the research, experts, like Alma J. Carten, are not convinced that it is the amount of treatment that’s causing the problem.
“The children need a lot of care, and I think they are getting the right amount they need,” said Carten. “But that doesn’t mean that there can’t be issues with the quality of that care and treatment.”
Due to these problems, NY state was required to hire professionals to serve as watchdogs of the New York City foster care system, in order to settle a federal class-action lawsuit alleging that children in foster care endure irreparable harm after lingering too long without permanent families. This occurred after several advocates, for foster children, had found that children, in New York State, spent twice as much time in the foster system as children throughout the country.
The ‘professional team,’ hired in NY includes a monitor and a research expert. The monitor will keep track of any mistreatment of foster children for a period of three years. While the research expert has been retained for a minimum of a two-year time frame, and will conduct yearly reviews of case records for compliance.
New York State’s situation, having children remain in the foster care system longer, isn’t a unique situation, in the U.S. Numbers from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Service, and the Administration for Children and Families, show that fewer children have exited the foster care system within the last five years, throughout the country. In 2014, there were 264,746 children entering the foster care system but only 238,230 exited.
“That just confirms that there is a need for foster care”, says Ledesma from Adopt US Kids. But that there’s obviously “a need for more resources.”
By Pilar Belendez, Aliza Chasan, Maura Ewing
This year, for the third time during the Obama administration, there was no adjustment to Social Security payout amounts.
The reason for not bumping the payout amount is that there was no rise in the cost of living (CPI), according to the Department of Labor. This is largely because of falling energy prices. So, the argument goes, payout rates to retired seniors should also remain steady.
“This should not be happening,” said Mary Johnson, policy consultant at the Senior Citizens League.
Johnson argues that the cost of living rates the government uses, CPI-W, are not accurate to the costs that seniors face—and the cost of living for seniors is rising based on a consumer price index tailored to their needs. The index, calculated by the Bureau of Labor statistics, is called the CPI-E.
When the inflation rate stays the same, cost of living remains steady and the costs of goods and services don’t change enough to mandate a cost of living adjustment (COLA) for Social Security recipients.
However, these calculations are based on an index called the CPI-W, which represents households that earn more than half of their income from jobs—not retired seniors.
The major differences between CPI-W and CPI-E are that CPI-E weights medical care and housing more heavily, because these are the two sectors where elderly people spend more than younger Americans. And, relevant to this year, energy prices are weighted less heavily because seniors drive less often.
“The CPI-W it is not measuring some of the most important buying patterns and costs that relate to older consumers,” said Johnson.
The government uses CPI-W instead of CPI-E as a cost-cutting measure, according to some experts and advocates for the elderly. Monthly payouts would be higher if CPI-E were used, but according to the BLS, the index is not used because being elderly and being a Social Security beneficiary isn’t the same thing.
About a third of Social Security recipients are younger than retiring age and get Social Security benefits as disabled workers or as the widows of deceased workers. Their spending patterns aren’t tracked by CPI-E.
The limitations of the measurement means seniors are losing out. According to a study conducted by the Senior Citizens League, seniors have lost 22 percent of their buying power since 2010 because of slowed Social Security growth rates. In other words, Social Security payouts today are worth about 80 percent of what they were just five years ago. This is related to rising healthcare costs as well as a lack of increases in payouts.
In 2013, the President proposed a measure cost of living adjustments be measured with chained CPI – a metric that would have depressed cost of living adjustments even further. Chained CPI assumes that consumers faced with inflation will substitute higher priced goods for lower priced ones, ground beef instead of rib eye.
Critics of the measure and advocates for retirees argued that seniors have a much harder time replacing goods with substitute items. It can be difficult to find cheaper medical options. The elderly also don’t have as much flexibility in how they shop to get deals and cut corners, according to critics of chained CPI.
Obama dropped the proposal last year even though his plan could have reduced deficits by $233 billion over a decade, according to 2013 estimates from the Congressional Budget Office. His proposed shift in measure could also have cut thousands from retirees’ incomes.
“One of the overriding needs is to try to create an actuarial balance for social security so it’s not going to run out of money,” said Social Security expert Philip Moeller. “So the CPI measure used in the COLA is an important determination.”
Despite the limitations of CPI-E, Rep. Alan Grayson (D-FL) and Rep. Michael Honda (D-CA) recently introduced a bill to tie future COLAs to CPI-E. The bill is pending in the House.